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Inventory is about to run out! The United States is only a few weeks away from supply chain disruptions 丨 Marine Export Logistics
May 02,2025
Nearly a month has passed since Trump announced on April 9 that he would impose 145% tariffs on Chinese goods, and China and the United States have not yet started negotiations. American retailers are running out of stock, and supply chain disruptions could become a reality within weeks.
▲CNN: The US supply chain disruption is only weeks away
The last batch of Chinese goods exempted from high tariffs is arriving at US ports. After April 9, Chinese goods leaving the port will be subject to a 145% tariff, resulting in a sharp decline in the number of ships and cargo. US importers face a difficult choice: accept high costs or stop selling goods. As a key trading partner of the United States, China supplies a large number of clothing, footwear, electronics, etc.
U.S. importers are caught in a dilemma, and consumers will face a shortage of goods and rising prices. According to Gene Seroka, executive director of the Port of Los Angeles, retailers have only six to eight weeks of inventory, and manufacturers and consumers will face difficult choices if the policy does not change. It is expected that U.S. imports will decline by at least 20% year on year in the second half of 2025, and imports from China will plummet by 75% to 80%.
Outside the port of Shanghai, China, super-large container ships are idle and anchored, and shipping companies are switching to small boats for transportation. In April, the number of U.S. routes to China decreased by 60%, and many container liner companies canceled flights. The ports of New York and New Jersey were busy as retailers stockpiled goods before tariffs took effect, but cargo volumes are expected to decline this month.
The goods will be put on the shelves within a few weeks after they arrive at the port. After the current inventory runs out, high-tariff goods will replace it. Small retailers are in trouble because they cannot absorb the cost of tariffs. Supply chain leaders expect that 45% of companies will pass on the cost of tariffs to customers. The executive director of the Port of Los Angeles warns that there will be fewer types of goods and higher prices; the founder of Flexport predicts that if the situation continues, there will be a large shortage of goods and empty shelves in the summer.
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