Attention! The volume of cargo is decreasing! The freight rate is not decreasing! | Marine export logistics
Apr 28,2025

Drewry predicts that global container port throughput will fall by 1% due to US tariffs, the third decline in global container shipping demand. The two previous declines occurred during the global financial crisis in 2009 (down 8.4%) and early 2020 (down 0.9%).
Container shipping between China and the United States faces a huge challenge after the Trump administration imposed new tariffs on Chinese imports. A spokesman for Hapag-lloyd said customers had cancelled 30 per cent of shipments from China to the US. According to US media KRON4, in the three weeks since the US tariffs on China took effect on April 9, the volume of freight container bookings from China to the United States fell by 60%.
Source: KRON4 invasion and deletion
April 25, the Shanghai Shipping Exchange (SCFI) released the latest index of 1347.84 points, down 1.66% from the previous period. The fares for specific routes are as follows:
North American routes: Shanghai to the United States and Spain freight rate of $2141 / FEU, up 1.81%; The freight rate from Shanghai to the United States is $3,257 / FEU, up 0.18%.
Europe route: Shanghai to Europe freight rate of $1260 / TEU, down 4.26%; Shanghai to the Mediterranean rate was $2,129 / TEU, down 1.48%.
Image source: Shanghai Shipping Exchange Deleted
Despite the decline in cargo volumes, freight prices on North American routes have risen rather than fallen. Industry insiders analyzed the reasons for:
1. Shipping company strategy adjustments: Shipping companies take steps to stabilize shipping prices to maintain profits.
2. Potential demand is on the horizon: Many businesses are not shipping because of high tariffs, but have not abandoned the U.S. market and are watching the progress of China-U.S. trade negotiations.
3. Impact of capacity realignment: Some ship companies have moved US capacity to European routes, which indirectly supports North American rates.
At present, both the ship and cargo sides are on the sidelines, closely monitoring the progress of the China-US trade negotiations. Shipping market trends will be highly dependent on the evolution of China-U.S. trade relations, and all parties are waiting for clarity on the trade situation to formulate more accurate operational strategies.
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